General Election Part - II Who will win the race?

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This is a continuation to my previous post on “The Fall of the UPA II government”.  My last article was about the probable chances of losing of the current UPA government. In this article I would like to discuss about the other dominating opponents of the congress in the run up for the general election 2014 that is scheduled to be held from April 7^th to May 16^th in nine phases and in all 543 constituencies of India. This is the 16^th Lok Sabha election and the country is expected to see a huge number of new voters particularly the youth that is estimated to be around 2.3 crore voting this year for the first time. Election is a time when the people of the country wait to see a new beginning with the same hope to see some change.  As an aspiring economist I know how important a government is to any nation. Ask any economist he would immediately support for some sort of government intervention in the market to bring about efficiency than completely following the laizez faire system where there is minimum or no government intervention at all. So choosing a proper government (which has become a difficult and complex decision in India) is as important as choosing a proper teacher for learning and trainer for building good physique.

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In central till last year the most dominating parties were the Indian National Congress (INC) and Bharathya Janata Party (BJP). Since independence these were the two parties that ruled the country with both parties being formed by legendry political leaders. But this year India has a new promising and energetic party on ground called Aam Aadmi formed by social activist Aravind kejriwal and his team of educated vibrant leaders forming a strong foothold in the capital city on the wake of continuing crimes and corruption in the country. There are quite a lot of other parties in India that are equally contesting in the election but going by the opinion poll results and the voice of the nation it is seen as these three are the most competing parties in forming the government. So let me restrict myself in discussing about the other two parties BJP and AAM AADMI here.

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Looking at the equal rival of the congress, the BJP led NDA has a higher chances of winning the election this year with NAMO Modi as the desired prime ministerial candidate. India always goes by giving a chance to potential leaders and in that aspect as the chance given by the people of India to congress was not all that satisfactory, this time people are planning to give that chance to Modi seeing the development made in Gujarat during his tenure as its chief minister. The Gujarat development model is the key and campaigning strategy chosen by the leader in contesting for the general election. Gujarat has seen a rapid economic growth and development in the last eight years from being a simple agrarian state to an industrialized hub. So when it comes to votes from industrial heads and gurus I think BJP will gain in this election game. The voice of youth also expresses their support for Namo Modi that is seen as the greatest advantage of BJP. All this is fine, but looking at the miserable state of the politics inside the party shows there is continuous chaos and disagreement among the notable members of the party which highlights the inefficiency and unstable nature of the BJP. As the election approaches near, the campaigns gets more bitter and personal with politicians targeting each other in the most disgusting manner.

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Aam Aadmi is another new equal rival for the both experienced BJP and congress. When Aam Aadmi came to power in the New Delhi state election last December the entire nation felt a sense of new beginning. A beginning of new hope giving way for transparent politics that would address the various social concerns of the nation. Though Aam Aadmi is new and has been criticized for its lack of experience and knowledge about the economy and politics it does really have a better scope and chance in this election though not a higher chances of winning than its counterpart BJP. For Aam Aadmi it is seen as this election would surely throw the voice of people for its support in coming to the power if not for this time atleast for the next time. Meanwhile, it would also be a good opportunity and feedback to the party of young educated socially concerned leaders to gain the necessary knowledge and experience in tacking the dirty politics played in India for several long years. A section of the society who are socially concerned and depressed by the growing crimes and illegal activities in the country strongly support for the Aam Aadmi. A great number of youth and senior citizens are in this group to vote for Aam Aadmi.

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As a politically neutral individual I personally don’t follow politics and I am not interested in the way the politics is played in India. To be frank and honest I also have the courage to say that I am not going to vote to any party this year instead  willing to cast my vote against 49-O. Most of you may abuse and criticize me for not taking interest in voting being a responsible citizen of India. For all those I have only one answer, if any elected government live up to the expectation of the entire nation and truly serve the country without indulging in anything that disturbs the public in every aspect and by looking at people’s problems as their own, then with my whole heart I will vote for the deserving party. Ever since I became independent and learned the role of government I haven’t seen any such deserving party or candidate so far. Now you people may also wonder then why on earth did I write an article about politics and election. Though I may not be inclined towards voting, I did feel to write a post on the most awaited event of the nation as I am socially aware and concerned citizen of India who believes that good governance is very much essential and important to grow as a prosperous nation free from all social evils. But the sad part in India is the government itself has been a reason for all the social dangers instead of protecting us from it. A last note: Let us hope that atleast this year a true and deserving party forms the government at central to bring about a revolutionary change and belief in the way Indian politics works.