The National Food Security Bill (NFSB) is one of the
flagship programs of the UPA government. It is the election promise made by the
congress while taking office in 2009.
The idea of implementing the scheme as desired on the national level
started in 2010 following the recommendations of Sonia Gandhi, chairperson of
the National Advisory Council (NAC). The government soon on her request started
to look into the implications of the program under an expert committee lead by
Dr. C. Rangarajan as suggested by the Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh. The
Food Security Bill was then finally introduced in the Lok Saba on December
2011.The main objective of the bill is to provide food and basic nutritional
security to the deserving by ensuring adequate quantity and quality food at
affordable prices to people to live life with dignity.
A country can be healthy only if its people are healthy and
productive. India as an emerging nation needs to address the health issue
seriously to move on to the development path. This has taken a view by seeing
the poor health status of her people. India’s high economic growth rate in the
past decade has not been fully reflected in the health status of its people,
with 22 percent of people undernourished. According to the National Family
Health Survey 2005-06, 40.4 per cent of children under the age of three are
underweight, 33 per cent of women in the age group of 15-49 have a body mass index
below normal and 78.9 per cent of children in the age group of 6-35 months are
anaemic. These are disturbing statistics which point to the nutritional
deficiencies. The NAC proposal for a National Food Security Bill is perhaps the
most important national effort yet to address these deficiencies in India.
The food security mission is said to increase the production
and productivity of wheat, rice and pulses on a sustainable basis so as to
ensure food security of the country. The food security bill gives two
categories of people the right to get food grains at affordable prices namely
the priority households and general households. The problem is with identifying
a priority household. Priority household will be entitled to 7Kg food grains
per person and general household not less than 3Kg. The priority household will
also get access to coarse grain for one rupee, wheat for Rs. 2 and rice for Rs.
3 per kg. The basic structure of the bill is to provide subsidized food grains
to at least 75% of the country’s population, 90% in rural area and 50% in urban
area. The bill has promised that in the first phase food entitlement will be
extended to 72 percent of the population and in the final phase to be completed
before March 31 2014; full coverage of food entitlement to 75 percent of the
population will be ensured. The bill is said to provide legal entitlements for
children, destitute and other vulnerable groups. The National Food Security
Bill is to be implemented through the Public Distribution System (PDS).
So now that the basic objective of the NFSB is said and
cleared let us analyze whether the proposed bill by the UPA government is
feasible and bound to achieve its desired results. A country with a huge
population, any policy that concerns the public and one that is of public
interest needs attention as it is mostly seen as a just another election game
played by the politicians to get votes. First, we all know that India presently
faces a tough political uncertainty that may call off the general election
anytime soon maybe even by this year. No wonder the congress is in a hurry to
implement the scheme hastily before the election as promised. Will a policy
that is said to address the poor and mass of the population implemented among
such criticism and chaos reach and achieve its full objective? The answer is no
because many of the policies implemented earlier on such occasions has been a
failure.
Given the fact that the bill is proposed to reach on the
national level, the first question arises is that is it not extravagant to
subsidize food for such a large part of the population when the poor constitute
only 30 percent of the population? India is already running a high fiscal
deficit and current account deficit. Not only that, India also faces many other
serious macroeconomic challenges, sluggish growth and weakening rupee. So in
such a scenario isn’t wise for the congress do something to improve the economy
rather than running madly to pass the bill successfully? The proposed food
security bill would cost the government $23 billion a year and take a third of
the annual grain production. Official projections are that it would cost close
to 1.5% of the GDP. But even in the most pessimistic case our GDP is expected
to grow only by 5% in the near future. This would hurt the already swollen
budget deficit of India next year increasing the risk of the rating agencies to
downgrade its investment status. If the bill is passed, India needs as much as
1.3 trillion next year, adding to a total subsidy burden that already eats upto
2.4% of GDP. The international oil and coal prices are likely to rise and don’t
seem to come down in the short run. The domestic coal production is also weak
and coal India is struggling to meet the growing demand. This has already
proved costly for the fuel and fertilizer subsidy. The higher imports results
in higher prices and will eventually affect the agricultural sector and farmers
who is dependent on fertilizers to enhance his production and is the primary
supplier to achieve the objectives of the NFSB. The extra cost would be further
translated by spending cuts and higher taxes which is not a healthy way of
achieving a sustainable development.
In a bid to reduce the fiscal deficit to 4.8 percent of the
GDP in the current fiscal, the finance minister has laid out a budget targeting
an efficient allocation by the plan and non plan expenditure. The food subsidy
has hence been postponed curbing the financial cost. Another important aspect
is the distribution system, India already has 54.7 million tonnes of rice and
wheat as stocks with the centre and states. Due to the poor storage facilities
the piled up stock will get rot and wasted. By piling up huge volumes of grain
stock, the government reduces the supply in the open market, putting upward
pressures on the prices. Since the scheme is to be passed through the PDS there
will exist leakages and corruption as the government holds the control over the
grain trade. Another problem is the exclusion, some people do not have access
to ration card and hence subsidized food, from which arouse horrifying reports
of starvation. The primary problem is also with identifying the beneficiaries.
The government often talks about the poor as if it is well defined group but
that is hardly the case. The official poverty threshold is low and many people
above the poverty line are also poor and look like people below the poverty
line. As a result, there is no reliable way in which subsidies can be targeted
to people only below the official threshold.
The government among much criticism and argument is still
sticking up with the bill and has now taken an ordinance route to pass the bill
in the next parliament session. One point to be noted here is that many Indian
states like Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, west Bengal, Chhattisgarh
and Madhya Pradesh are already providing subsidized grain. Feeding its poor is
a matter of urgency for India, home to 25 percent of the world’s hungry poor.
Also india ranks 65 among 79 nations on the global hunger index. Ofcourse, the
bill is one of the landmark schemes of the congress but how far is the bill
ready to achieve the results in the present situation is a matter of concern. The
FSB is not the best way to reach the poor and hungry, who are dispersed across
the country. The best way to go about it is through UID linked bank accounts
through which states will be encouraged to switch to cash transfers. The extra
cost of government storage and distribution will then be saved and the problems
caused by the distortion of grain trade will be mitigated. Many worries from
the identification of the food bill with the PDS will disappear. The FSB instead
through PDS, if implemented by cash transfers will serve as an income transfer.
The effect of the subsidy is that households save money that would have
otherwise been used to buy food at market price. The objective of serving the
people subsidized foodgrain can be achieved only if the agricultural sector is
healthy. But India since the beginning of the 21st century has been continuously
ignoring the sector resulting in weak production and disappointment among the Indian
farmers. One of the main reasons of slow economic growth is also because of
supply constraints and bottlenecks which the government has to seriously look
into before implementing such a massive scheme on a large scale. The promise of
near universal coverage is nowhere in sight and the UPA’s seemingly fretful efforts
to get the measure through do not appear to be convincing. The policy is
noteworthy and the objectives of the bill is highly helpful to the Indian poor
but before going ahead with the scheme its wise to clear the present problems,
revise the bill to the needs of the poorest of the poor and plan to truly serve
the people on the long run rather than sticking to short term political pay
off. The country is waiting but for a most reliable FSB. However it is wise to
go by the saying:
“Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day. Teach a man
to fish and you feed him for a whole lifetime.”
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